2022 Elections
All-Time High Economic Discontent May Cause Disaster for Democrats, Survey Finds
A Sunday poll conducted by NBC News revealed that the Democrats' chances of retaining the House and Senate are dwindling due to all-time high metrics in midterm polling.
Seventy-one percent of registered voters believe the country is on the wrong track under Democratic rule, a new high. Only 20% believe the country is on the right track.
A record 57% of Americans disapprove of President Joe Biden's economic management. Only 38% of people agree.
Another record high, 50% believe the Democrats' economy will worsen. Only 20% think the economy will improve.
The poll sampled 1,000 registered voters from October 14 to 18, with a margin of error of 3.1.
Worse yet for Democrats, the sagging economy is the top midterm issue for voters. According to a Politico/Morning Consult poll released on Wednesday, 81 percent of voters say the Democrats' economy will be a “major” factor in how they vote. In terms of inflation, eighty percent agree.
Inflation has had a significant impact on Americans. After adjusting for inflation, wages for American families are down $6,000 under Democrat rule, according to a Heritage Foundation study. This is an increase from an earlier estimate of a $4,200 decline in real wages.
The economic pain appears to be affecting individual races across the country, even in solid blue areas. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) chairman Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney's (D-NY) district was downgraded from “Lean D” to “Toss Up” by the Political Cook Report on Monday. A defeat of the DCCC chief, whose job it is to keep the House under Democratic control, would be a historic upset.
The gubernatorial election in New York is a toss-up between Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) and Rep. Lee Zeldin. In fact, according to a recent poll, Zeldin has a slight lead over Hochul. If Zeldin pulls off the upset, he will be only the state's second Republican governor since 1975.
Republicans have also broadened their map in Washington State, where Republican Senate candidate Tiffany Smiley is within a hair's breadth of 30-year incumbent Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA). Smiley has out-raised Murray by nearly double in the third quarter ($6-3.3 million), according to the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
According to additional polling, Republicans are in play in every Senate battleground state, with Democrats trailing in states they need to retake, such as Florida, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. In contrast, Republicans are performing well in Nevada, Georgia, and Ohio. With 17 days until election day, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Arizona are all within the margin of error.
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