Poll: Trump Takes 30-Point Lead in Potential 2024 Republican Primaries

A recent Emerson College poll issued on Tuesday found that former President Donald Trump now has a 30-point advantage over his next-closest potential GOP presidential primary rival in 2024 and is in the lead with the majority of the vote.

The poll, which was conducted solely after Trump’s well-reported visit to East Palestine, Ohio, last week, puts him 30 points ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R), who is down at 25%. This means that Trump has already surpassed the majority threshold in polls for the national GOP primary.

Trump and DeSantis are the only candidates in the poll who have double-digit support in the 10-candidate race. After the 2022 midterm elections, Trump announced his 2024 campaign in November of the previous year. DeSantis has been considering a run and working to raise his national profile recently, including with the publication of a book this week and events over the past few weeks in places like New York and Illinois. DeSantis has stated that he won’t decide whether to run until after Florida’s spring session of the legislature, which puts the timing of such an announcement until sometime in late May or even June.

According to the Emerson College poll, neither former U.S. ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley nor former Vice President Mike Pence received more than 8% of the respondents’ support. Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC), who is thinking about running for office himself, received 2 percent of the vote while everyone else earned 1 percent or less. Kristi Noem, the governor of South Dakota, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and Larry Hogan, the governor of Maryland, all received 1 percent, while Chris Sununu, the governor of New Hampshire, received 0.4 percent. 5% of respondents stated they preferred another person.

Also, according to the survey, Joe Biden, the incumbent Democrat president, is trailed by only declared or possible GOP presidential contender Donald Trump in 2024. With Trump receiving 4 percentage points more than Biden, who received 42%, Trump has a substantial advantage that exceeds the survey’s margin of error. On the other hand, DeSantis is four percentage points behind Biden, which means that Biden’s 44 to 40 percentage point lead over DeSantis is beyond the poll’s margin of error. With a margin of error of just three percentage points, Biden leads Haley by a score of 40% to 37%.

With a 2.9-percentage-point margin of error, the poll interviewed 1,060 registered voters from February 24 to 25.

The most recent poll, conducted by Emerson, reveals that the former president has a significant lead over both confirmed and potential GOP candidates.

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